
Alex Barutha
82 - 71
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms.
Alex's Picks
Past Picks

Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs
Prop (-130) vs San Antonio Spurs
Prop (-130) vs San Antonio Spurs
Proj: --
Not often will I be taking the under on Wembanyama's rebounds. But Houston is an elite rebounding team, allowing just 35.8 rebounds per 48 minutes. Only two players have a double-digit rebound game against the Rockets this season -- Day'Ron Sharpe (12 in a blowout) and PJ Washington (12). Wembanyama also has just 17 rebounds across his past two games (Suns and Lakers).

Atlanta Hawks
Indiana Pacers
Prop (-110) vs Indiana Pacers
Prop (-110) vs Indiana Pacers
Proj: --
With the Pacers depleted in the frontcourt, Siakam has picked up extra rebounding responsibilities. Across his 36.0 minutes per game, he's grabbing 11.0 boards. This is a good opportunity against Atlanta, as they're allowing the 3rd-most rebounds per 48 minutes (49.4). Notably, the Hawks have allowed big-rebound games to non-centers like Josh Giddey (13), Brandon Ingram (9), Michael Porter Jr. (9) and RJ Barrett (8).

Miami Heat
San Antonio Spurs
Prop (-119) vs San Antonio Spurs
Prop (-119) vs San Antonio Spurs
Proj: --
Vassell is making 3.3 threes on 43.3% this season. The Heat have been playing at a blistering pace and allowing the third-most 3PA per 48 minutes, notably allowing 12 three-point attempts to OG Anunoby and 11 attempts to Kon Knueppel. I'm banking on Vassell being next in line.

Memphis Grizzlies
Phoenix Suns
Prop (-108) vs Phoenix Suns
Prop (-108) vs Phoenix Suns
Proj: --
Per 48 minutes, Phoenix is allowing the 3rd-most points (125.7) and the fifth-most assists (27.8). Notably, they've allowed games of 29-and-9 to DeMar DeRozan, eight assists to Chris Paul in 20 minutes, 14-and-7 to Dennis Schroder, and 30-and-7 to James Harden. The Grizzlies have played in two big blowouts in their first four games, limiting Morant's time on the court. I think this could be his best game yet. Per 36 minutes, he's averaging 29.4 points and 8.6 assists.

Portland Trail Blazers
Utah Jazz
Prop (+106) vs Utah Jazz
Prop (+106) vs Utah Jazz
Proj: --
Kessler has been great defensively to begin the year, averaging 2.7 blocks in 31.3 MPG -- similar to his 2024-25 block rate. This looks like a strong matchup for him, as Portland is being blocked the second-most per 48 minutes (6.5). Notably, Brook Lopez had three blocks in 13 minutes against the Blazers, and Ivica Zubac -- not known for his shot-blocking -- had two swats.

Atlanta Hawks
Brooklyn Nets
Prop (-125) vs Brooklyn Nets
Prop (-125) vs Brooklyn Nets
Proj: --
Brooklyn is allowing a league-high 130.5 points per 48 minutes. I am somewhat worried about the blowout, but the Hawks are only favored by eight points -- we aren't in complete stay-away territory. Brooklyn has been giving up a lot of looks at the rim, and that's where Johnson likes to attack. Johnson is averaging 19.7 points in 31.0 minutes in three appearances.

Sacramento Kings
Oklahoma City Thunder
Prop (-105) vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Prop (-105) vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Proj: --
The Thunder will be without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams and Isaiah Joe. Mitchell has a 31% USG rate with those three off the floor this season, and he's going up a struggling Kings squad. In Mitchell's 27.3 minutes per game this season, he's averaging 18.3 points and 3.5 assists.

Charlotte Hornets
Miami Heat
Prop (+102) vs Miami Heat
Prop (+102) vs Miami Heat
Proj: --
This game has a blistering 240.5 over/under, so we're already getting some value by default. Notably, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-most 3PA per 48 minutes (43) so far this season, and that favors Knueppel. The rookie has taken 15 threes across the past two games, hitting eight of them. That percentage won't hold up, but I'm hoping he takes something like 10 threes tonight.

New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
Spread (-110) vs Memphis Grizzlies
Spread (-110) vs Memphis Grizzlies
Proj: --
I don't see why a healthy Pelicans team shouldn't be better than the current version of the Grizzlies, who are dealing with notable injuries to Zach Edey, Scotty Pippen, Ty Jerome, Vince Williams and Brandon Clarke. Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. also got very little run-up before the season since they were recovering from their own injuries. New Orleans has more overall talent and should be more prepared tonight.

Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
Spread (-110) vs Chicago Bulls
Spread (-110) vs Chicago Bulls
Proj: --
I'm a believer in the Bulls this season, but not necessarily without Coby White, and not going up against a Pistons team that should be in Tier 2 of the Eastern Conference. My biggest concern on an Xs and Os level is Josh Giddey potentially being guarded by Ausar Thompson. That alone may be enough to blow up Chicago's offensive gameplan. Detroit is missing Jaden Ivey for a month and lost some important pieces over the summer, but I'm not ready to write them off -- at least not in this matchup.
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